Issued: 5:02 PM PDT Thursday, March 15, 2018
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Friday

A deep upper trough will slowly spin south off the Oregon Coast today. This should translate to more clouds and shower activity closer to the low near Mt. Hood. The air mass is marginally unstable, so a general increase in afternoon cover near or above Cascade crest level is expected over the Washington Cascades. Isolated showers may pop-up in the afternoon especially in the Crystal/Mt. Rainier/Chinook Pass vicinity. Any shower activity that does form will dissipate overnight. Freezing levels will climb to 5000 feet or more feet today, but snow levels will quickly plummet during any shower activity. 

The low will migrate inland on Friday with the same cool and slightly unstable air mass over our region. A notch more cloud buildup and afternoon light shower activity can be expected on Friday with again a better chance of showers for Mt. Hood and the SW Cascades including Crystal/Mt. Rainier/Chinook Pass.  Again, any shower activity will wane in the evening excluding Mt. Hood, where showers will linger longer. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Thursday Mostly clear becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Isolated afternoon showers.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly clear.
Friday Mostly clear becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon with isolated showers.
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Thursday Mostly clear becoming partly cloudy north and central Cascades and partly to mostly cloudy south Cascades in the afternoon. Isolated afternoon showers from Crystal Mountain and southward.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly clear.
Friday Mostly clear becoming partly to mostly cloudy north Cascades in the afternoon with isolated showers. Partly to mostly clear becoming mostly cloudy central and south Cascades in the afternoon with isolated showers.
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday Mostly clear becoming partly cloudy northeast and central-east Cascades and partly to mostly cloudy southeast Cascades in the afternoon. Isolated afternoon showers southeast Cascades near the Cascade crest.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly clear.
Friday Mostly clear becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon with isolated showers near the Cascade crest.
Mt. Hood
Thursday Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy in the afternoon with light rain and snow showers.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers.
Friday Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy in the afternoon with light rain and snow showers.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 3000' 3500' 4000' ' ' 3500' ' 3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level 3000' 2000' 1500' ' ' 2500' ' 2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level 3000' 2000' 1500' ' ' 2500' ' 2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 4500' 4500' ' ' 4500' ' 3500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Friday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 LT 0.25
LT 0.25 LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon E 0 - 10 N 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 --- - E 5 - 15
Thursday Night NE 0 - 10 NE 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 --- - NE 5 - 15
Friday Morning NE 0 - 10 NE 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 --- - NE 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon N 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 NW 0 - 10 --- - NW 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Afternoon E 0 - 10
Thursday Night NE 0 - 10
Friday Morning NE 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon N 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Afternoon N 0 - 10
Thursday Night NE 0 - 10
Friday Morning NE 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon E 0 - 10
Thursday Night E 0 - 10
Friday Morning E 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon NW 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Afternoon E 5 - 15
Thursday Night NE 5 - 15
Friday Morning NE 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon NW 0 - 10
Friday Night WNW 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon E 0 - 10
Thursday Night NE 0 - 10
Friday Morning NE 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon N 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon N 0 - 10
Thursday Night NE 0 - 10
Friday Morning NE 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon E 0 - 10
Thursday Night E 0 - 10
Friday Morning E 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon NW 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon E 5 - 15
Thursday Night NE 5 - 15
Friday Morning NE 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon NW 0 - 10
Friday Night WNW 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon E 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 SE 10 - 20 --- - SSE 10 - 20
Thursday Night NE 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 ESE 10 - 20 --- - E 15 - 25
Friday Morning NE 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 E 10 - 20 --- - E 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 NE 5 - 15 --- - NE 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon E 0 - 10
Thursday Night NE 0 - 10
Friday Morning NE 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Friday Night NW 0 - 10
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon E 0 - 10
Thursday Night E 0 - 10
Friday Morning VAR 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Friday Night NW 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SE 10 - 20
Thursday Night ESE 10 - 20
Friday Morning E 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon NE 5 - 15
Friday Night NW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Thursday Night E 15 - 25
Friday Morning E 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon NE 5 - 15
Friday Night NW 5 - 15

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

The deep and broad upper level trough will continue to slowly move into the Intermountain West over the weekend, but it's broad reach will still include the Pacific Northwest through this period. It's hard to pick out any specific forcing to drive shower activity other than daytime heating over the short or long term.  Onshore flow on Saturday should increase low level moisture and cloud cover for the Olympics, West slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood.

On Sunday, we'll have to watch for an upper level feature which could bring more organized showers into the south Cascades and Mt. Hood but the forecast will remain more generic until those details iron out.  Freezing/Snow levels will remain cool over the weekend. 

The broad trough should shift eastward on Monday, allowing a relative decrease in afternoon cloud cover and shower activity along with a slight warming trend.   

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Saturday Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the afternoon Olympics, Mt. Hood and West Slopes of the Cascades. Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated afternoon showers near the Cascade crest East Slopes of the Cascades. Saturday Night Partly to mostly cloudy. Sunday Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the afternoon Olympics, Mt. Hood and West Slopes of the Cascades. Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated afternoon showers East Slopes of the Cascades. Sunday Night Partly to mostly cloudy. Monday Partly to mostly cloudy. Isolated showers in the afternoon Olympics, Mt. Hood and West Slopes of the Cascades. Partly cloudy with isolated afternoon showers near the Cascade crest East Slopes of the Cascades near the Cascade crest.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500' 3000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level 1500' - 2500' 1500' - 2500' 1500' - 2500'
Sunday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Snow Level 1500' - 2500' 1500' - 2500' 2000' - 3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Monday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Sunday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Monday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Sunday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Monday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 15, 2018

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5 PM Update: Corrected Typo