Issued: 2:28 PM PST Sunday, February 11, 2018
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Sunday & Friday

A compact and moisture-starved low moved quickly to the south of the forecast area on Sunday morning and now sits over west-central Oregon, having bypassed the Pacific Northwest of almost any moisture. As the low continues to track S-SE, mostly sunny skies and light northly flow predominate over the forecast area. There are a few notable exceptions such as at Hurricane Ridge where the northerly flow is backing clouds against the mountains, but the clouds should dissipate by the late afternoon hours. Clouds also still linger around Mt. Hood on Sunday afternoon and evening. 

The large offshore high pressure re-builds south of Alaska on Sunday. 

Sunday night the lower-level flow will switch to easterly, allowing colder area to infiltrate western Washington from the east side of the Cascades and BC coast range. Northerly flow continues aloft.

On Monday, the offshore high pressure tilts into British Columbia, keeping the sunny weather  in place and with moderating temperatures over the Pacific Northwest. Light or calm winds are expected.

On Monday night,  the high slides southward over the region, bringing further moderation aloft, with a good inversion likely to set up, particularly on the east slopes of the Cascades. Light or calm winds are expected.

 

 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Sunday Decreasing afternoon clouds as low-level clouds banked up against the northern part of the Olympics dissipate.
Sunday Night Clear.
Monday Sunny. Moderating temperatures.
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Sunday Low-level clouds banked up against the west slopes of the Cascades from the central Cascades southward. Sunny in the north or above about 6000 ft. Fog in places.
Sunday Night Clear. Cold.
Monday Sunny. Moderating temperatures.
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Sunday Mostly sunny with some high clouds in the south near Mt. Adams.
Sunday Night Clear and cold.
Monday Sunny and cool. Temperatures moderating in the afternoon.
Mt. Hood
Sunday Mostly cloudy with fog.
Sunday Night Chance of a passing light snow shower in the early evening. Clearing during the late evening hours. Light to moderate E or NE wind.
Monday Sunny. Cold in the morning with a light to moderate E wind. Moderating temperatures.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level * 1000' 1000' 1000' ' ' 2000' ' 2000'
Sunday Night Snow Level * 0' 0' 0' ' ' 0' ' 0'
Monday Morning Freezing Level * 2000' 1000' 1000' ' ' 1000' ' 1000'
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level 3000' 2500' 3000' ' ' 3000' ' 2000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Monday Night Freezing Level
2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
2500'
Monday Night Freezing Level
2000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Monday Night Freezing Level
3000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
'
Monday Night Freezing Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
'
Monday Night Freezing Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
Monday Night Freezing Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
'
Monday Night Freezing Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Freezing Level
2000'
Monday Night Freezing Level
5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Friday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.10
LT 0.10 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon NNE 5 - 15 N 10 - 20 WNW 5 - 15 --- - NW 5 - 15
Sunday Night NE 15 - 25 ENE 10 - 20 E 5 - 15 --- - ENE 15 - 25
Monday Morning ENE 5 - 15 ENE 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 --- - E 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10 VAR 0 - 10 W 0 - 10 --- - E 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Afternoon NNE 5 - 15
Sunday Night NE 15 - 25
Monday Morning ENE 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Afternoon N 10 - 20
Sunday Night ENE 10 - 20
Monday Morning ENE 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Monday Night W 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15
Sunday Night E 5 - 15
Monday Morning E 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Monday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Afternoon NW 5 - 15
Sunday Night ENE 15 - 25
Monday Morning E 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon E 5 - 15
Monday Night ENE 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon NNE 5 - 15
Sunday Night NE 15 - 25
Monday Morning ENE 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Monday Night VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon N 10 - 20
Sunday Night ENE 10 - 20
Monday Morning ENE 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Monday Night W 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15
Sunday Night E 5 - 15
Monday Morning E 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Monday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon NW 5 - 15
Sunday Night ENE 15 - 25
Monday Morning E 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon E 5 - 15
Monday Night ENE 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon NNE 15 - 25 NNE 20 - 30 N 10 - 20 --- - WNW 5 - 15
Sunday Night NNE 25 - 35 NNE 15 - 25 NNE 15 - 25 --- - NNE 15 - 25
Monday Morning NNE 20 - 30 NNE 20 - 30 NNE 20 - 30 --- - NNE 35 - 45
Monday Afternoon NNW 15 - 25 N 20 - 30 NNE 20 - 30 --- - NNE 35 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon NNE 15 - 25
Sunday Night NNE 25 - 35
Monday Morning NNE 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon NNW 15 - 25
Monday Night WNW 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon NNE 20 - 30
Sunday Night NNE 15 - 25
Monday Morning NNE 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon N 20 - 30
Monday Night WNW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon N 10 - 20
Sunday Night NNE 15 - 25
Monday Morning NNE 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon NNE 20 - 30
Monday Night NW 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5 - 15
Sunday Night NNE 15 - 25
Monday Morning NNE 35 - 45
Monday Afternoon NNE 35 - 50
Monday Night NNE 20 - 30

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

On Tuesday the high pressure will be directly over the forecast area, bringing slightly spring-like weather to the region with light westerly flow developing. On Tuesday night, a shortwave trough splits the ridge, diving S-SW on a trajectory toward our region. The trough will be located over central British Columbia on Tuesday night. As the trough and associated frontal system approach, 9000 ft westerly winds will become moderate to occasionally strong over the central Cascades. Light to moderate snow will arrive, mostly after midnight for the Washington Cascades (mainly near and west of the crest) and Olympics.

On Wednesday, the trough arrives in the early morning hours over the Pacific Northwest and digs deeper during the morning hours, before passing east of the area by nightfall. The west slopes of the Cascades should experiences moderate snowfall at low snow levels, with likely greater amounts in central-south Cascades and Hood regions. Wednesday night, snow showers end as a ridge rebuilds to the west and shifts east into our area. N-NW flow will predominate over the region.

On Thursday, the ridge continues to edge into our region as any lingering light snow showers end. Fair weather returns.

 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Tuesday Mild weather can be expected, particularly from the central Cascades southward, with light westerly winds increasing late in the day. On Tuesday night, light to moderate snow will spread across the region, arriving first in the Washington Cascades and Olympics close to midnight and arriving at Mt. Hood by about dawn. Moderate crest-level westerly flow can be expected. Wednesday Decreasing light to moderate snow showers, heaviest near Mt. Hood. Light snow showers ending during the evening hours. Thursday A window of high pressure returns with mostly sunny skies and light winds.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Tuesday Snow Level 3000' - 5000' 5000' - 7000' 7500' - 9500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 1000' - 2000' 500' - 1500' 1500' - 3500'
Wednesday Snow Level 1500' - 2500' 1500' - 2500' 2000' - 3000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500' 1000' - 2000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Wednesday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Thursday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Snow Level
5000' - 7000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Wednesday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Thursday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Snow Level
7500' - 9500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
1500' - 3500'
Wednesday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Thursday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 11, 2018

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