Issued: 3:08 PM PST Sunday, February 4, 2018
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Sunday & Monday

Moisture continues to stream into the region in NW flow aloft, riding up and over a stationary upper level ridge parked offshore. Moderate to occasionally heavy rain seen along the west slopes of the Cascades today has come to an end as a weak frontal boundary passed through the area earlier this afternoon, changing steady rain to showers with intensities lowering and beginning to usher in somewhat cooler air. The north Cascades on both sides of the crest were again the relatively local cool spot in this rainy pattern, with snow levels peaking around 6000 feet today.  Moderate to strong westerly winds will continue in most locations and elevations in this pattern.

Snow levels will gradually fall overnight and settle between 3500-4500 feet on Monday.  Showers should continue in W-NW flow, again mainly for the west slopes of the Cascades, with new snowfall accumulations expected above 4000 feet for Snoqualmie Pass to Mt. Baker. A weak upper level feature may enhance shower activity in the north Cascades on Monday. 

NW flow will keep plenty of moisture and clouds banked up along the west slopes of the Cascades Monday and Monday night. The ridge will amplify offshore on Monday and begin to slide back towards the PNW Monday night, helping to decrease shower activity. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Sunday Light to occasionally moderate rain becoming light showers mid-day. Mild.
Sunday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Cooling trend.
Monday Cloudy with light rain and snow showers. Cooler.
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Sunday Rain, heavy at times becoming light to moderate showers in the afternoon. Less precipitation for the Crystal area. Mild. Slightly cooler with moderate to heavy rain and snow Mt. Baker area. Moderate to strong winds.
Sunday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Cooling trend. Windy.
Monday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers central and north Cascades. Cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers south Cascades. Cooler.
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Sunday Light to moderate rain and snow, heaviest near the Cascade crest, becoming light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Partial clearing further east. Mild. Moderate to strong winds.
Sunday Night Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers mainly near the Cascade crest. Cooling trend. Windy.
Monday Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers mainly near the Cascade crest. Cooler.
Mt. Hood
Sunday Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow increasing in the afternoon. Mild. Windy.
Sunday Night Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers. Cooling trend. Windy.
Monday Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. Cooler.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level 7000' 6000' 6000' ' ' 6500' ' 7500'
Sunday Evening Snow Level 6000' 5000' 5500' ' ' 5500' ' 7000'
Sunday Night Snow Level 4500' 4000' 4500' ' ' 4500' ' 5500'
Monday Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' ' ' 3500' ' 4500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Monday Snow Level
4000'
Monday Night Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Monday Snow Level
4000'
Monday Night Snow Level
3000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Monday Snow Level
4000'
Monday Night Snow Level
3000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Monday Snow Level
'
Monday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Monday Snow Level
'
Monday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Monday Snow Level
3500'
Monday Night Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Monday Snow Level
'
Monday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
7500'
Sunday Evening Snow Level
7000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
5500'
Monday Snow Level
4500'
Monday Night Snow Level
4000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Monday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 2.00 0 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 - 2.00 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 2.00 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 1.50 - 2.00 LT 0.25
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 45 --- - WSW 25 - 35
Sunday Night W 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 30 --- - W 25 - 35
Monday Morning W 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 WSW 15 - 25 --- - W 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon W 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 WSW 10 - 20 --- - W 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night W 15 - 25
Monday Morning W 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Monday Night W 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night WSW 15 - 25
Monday Morning SW 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 45
Sunday Night WSW 15 - 30
Monday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Monday Night W 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Sunday Night W 25 - 35
Monday Morning W 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Monday Night W 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night W 15 - 25
Monday Morning W 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Monday Night W 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night WSW 15 - 25
Monday Morning SW 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Monday Night SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 45
Sunday Night WSW 15 - 30
Monday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Monday Night W 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Sunday Night W 25 - 35
Monday Morning W 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Monday Night W 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon W 40 - 50 W 55 - 65 W 50 - 60 --- - W 50 - 60
Sunday Night W 30 - 40 W 40 - 50 WNW 40 - 50 --- - WNW 45 - 55
Monday Morning W 20 - 30 W 20 - 30 NW 30 - 40 --- - NW 45 - 55
Monday Afternoon W 15 - 25 W 20 - 30 NW 30 - 40 --- - NW 45 - 55
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Sunday Night W 30 - 40
Monday Morning W 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Monday Night WNW 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon W 55 - 65
Sunday Night W 40 - 50
Monday Morning W 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Monday Night WNW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon W 50 - 60
Sunday Night WNW 40 - 50
Monday Morning NW 30 - 40
Monday Afternoon NW 30 - 40
Monday Night NW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon --- -
Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon W 50 - 60
Sunday Night WNW 45 - 55
Monday Morning NW 45 - 55
Monday Afternoon NW 45 - 55
Monday Night NW 50 - 60

Extended Weather Synopsis for Monday night through Monday

This quasi-stationary longwave ridge pattern will hold through the extended period and potentially longer with NW flow aloft and moist but generally mild weather systems coming up and over the ridge and afflicting the Pacific Northwest. The next system should arrive sometime Tuesday afternoon or evening, with precipitation again mainly affecting the west slopes of the central and north Cascades.  On Wednesday the upper level ridge offshore should push the main moisture plume a bit further north, allowing for overall warming and some clearing for the south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood.  Thursday, a stronger frontal system is pegged to temporarily collapse the ridge as precipitation pushes south into the area. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Tuesday Cloudy with isolated light rain and showers becoming light rain and snow in the afternoon and continuing overnight Olympics and Washington Cascades. Mostly cloudy Mt. Hood. Wednesday Cloudy Olympics and north and central Cascades with periods of light rain and snow. Mostly to partly cloudy south Cascades and Mt. Hood. Warming trend. Thursday Light to moderate rain and snow Washington Cascades. Mostly cloudy Mt. Hood. Mild. Increasing winds.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Tuesday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500' 5500' - 6500'
Wednesday Snow Level 4500' - 5500' 5000' - 6000' 7000' - 8000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 5500' - 6500' 6000' - 7000' 8000' - 9000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Wednesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Thursday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Wednesday Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Thursday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Wednesday Snow Level
7000' - 8000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
8000' - 9000'
Thursday Snow Level
7000' - 8000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 4, 2018

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