Issued: 2:37 PM PST Wednesday, January 31, 2018
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Tuesday

A 145 kt jet will move over the area in in cool W-NW flow aloft today. Orographic showers in westerly flow will squeeze out some light snowfall accumulations at low snow levels especially for the west slopes of the Cascades. Light shower activity seen today and tonight should wane Thursday morning, but warm frontal precipitation associated with a parent low in the NE Pacific will begin to spread light precipitation over the Cascades Thursday afternoon.

An upper level ridge will begin building offshore outside of 130W today. Over the next 48 hours, this ridge will slide slightly eastward and begin to bring warmer air into the region. Snow levels should gradually rise during the day on Thursday, and rise further Thursday night as precipitation intensifies and an occluded front passes through the Cascades. Rain will push into mid-elevations (near treeline) by early Friday morning for all areas.  Precipitation looks heaviest from Snoqualmie Pass to Mt. Hood Thursday night. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow showers.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with light snow showers.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers becoming light rain and snow mid-day. Warming trend.
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow showers.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light snow showers.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers becoming light rain and snow in the afternoon. Slow warming trend.
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow showers.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with light snow showers.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers becoming very light snow in the afternoon. Slow warming trend.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Cloudy with light snow showers.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with light snow showers.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers becoming light rain and snow in the afternoon. Warming trend.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 2000' 1500' 1000' ' ' 2000' ' 3000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level 2500' 2000' 1000' ' ' 2000' ' 3000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level 3500' 2500' 2000' ' ' 2500' ' 4000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 4500' 3500' 3500' ' ' 4000' ' 6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level 7000' 4500' 4000' ' ' 6000' ' 8000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
7000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
1000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
8000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
7000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Tuesday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 - 0.50 0.75 - 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass LT 0.25 0 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 1.00 - 1.50
LT 0.25 0 - 1.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon S 5 - 15 S 0 - 10 SW 5 - 15 --- - SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20 SSW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 --- - WSW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning S 0 - 10 SW 0 - 10 SW 5 - 15 --- - SW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon S 10 - 20 S 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 --- - SW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning S 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon S 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Thursday Night SSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night WSW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning SW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning S 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon S 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Thursday Night SSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon S 5 - 15
Thursday Night SW 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Night WSW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning SW 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 25 W 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30 --- - WNW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night WSW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 W 25 - 35 --- - WNW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning W 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30 W 25 - 35 --- - W 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 30 - 40 --- - W 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Morning W 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Wednesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Night W 25 - 35
Thursday Morning W 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Night W 40 - 50
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon WNW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night WNW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning W 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon W 30 - 40
Thursday Night W 40 - 50

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

The upper ridge will amplify offshore over the long term, but it will not be strong enough to shunt precipitation north of our area. A series of systems upstream in NW flow will cut through the dirty ridge enroute to the Olympics and Washington Cascades Friday through Sunday.  Snow levels will generally be on the mild side with even the northeast Cascades warming up over the weekend.  Precipitation will be heaviest along the west slopes of the Cascades with much less precipitation for Mt. Hood and the east slopes of the Cascades over this period. Hurricane Ridge should be rain-shadowed relative to the rest of the Olympics in this flow pattern. Periods of strong westerly winds should also buffet the area; forecast models currently suggest Friday and again Sunday afternoon could be quite windy following the passages of sharp upper level troughs. No good (snow) news in this extended forecast.

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Friday Light to moderate showers, heaviest west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood. Slight cooling in the afternoon. Moderate west winds. Showers becoming light overnight. Saturday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow, heaviest northwest Cascades, very light Mt. Hood. Mild. Rain and snow becoming moderate to occasionally heavy central-west and northwest Cascades Saturday night. Sunday Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow, heaviest precipitation central-west and northwest Cascades, light Mt. Hood. Mild and windy.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Snow Level 5000' - 6000' 5500' - 6500' 6500' - 7500'
Friday Night Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 4000' - 5000' 5500' - 6500'
Saturday Snow Level 4500' - 5500' 5500' - 6500' 7500' - 8500'
Saturday Night Snow Level 6500' - 7500' 7000' - 8000' 7500' - 8500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
Friday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Saturday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
6500' - 7500'
Sunday Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Friday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Saturday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
7000' - 8000'
Sunday Snow Level
7000' - 8000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Snow Level
6500' - 7500'
Friday Night Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Saturday Snow Level
7500' - 8500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
7500' - 8500'
Sunday Snow Level
7000' - 8000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 31, 2018

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