Issued: 3:23 PM PST Saturday, December 16, 2017
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday & Saturday

The shortwave trough that moved through last night has moved to the Great Basin by mid-day Saturday. To our west, a weak, shortwave ridge extends our coastal waters to central British Columbia. A moist westerly jet from the central Pacific is spreading moisture into that weak ridge as a warm frontal zone brings us clouds and some very light precipitation this afternoon. The majority of the rain and snow will remain offshore today and this evening. The warm front will begin over-running the cold air in place as it arrives early Sunday morning. The warming will be particularly sharp overnight in the Olympics, with modest warming elsewhere.

On Sunday, the warm frontal rain/snow band arrives, bringing plentiful precipitation with continued warming as our forecast area will be on the warm side of the storm as the E-W jetstream that sits over northern Vancouver Island. However, light easterly flow at the surface should keep Snoqualmie snowing into late morning or mid-day hours and Stevens Passes as snow into the mid-afternoon hours before the eventual transition to rain. 

Sunday night, there will be a tight north-south temperature gradient in place as moisture continues streaming into our forecast zones.

 

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Saturday Cloudy with increasing light snow.
Saturday Night Increasing light to moderate rain and snow. Sharp warming trend.
Sunday Increasing light to moderate rain and snow. Continued warming trend.
Washington Cascades near and west of the Crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie and White Passes
Saturday Light snow showers between Snoqualmie and Stevens Pass, ending. Decreasing pass-level clouds will be replaced by increasing mid-level and high-level clouds.
Saturday Night Increasing light rain and snow north, heavier in the north and mainly after midnight.
Sunday Increasing light rain and snow in the morning becoming moderate central and north. Increasing light to moderate rain and snow by afternoon in the south. Warming trend.
East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
Saturday Increasing mid-level and high-level clouds.
Saturday Night Increasing light snow north and central.
Sunday Increasing light to moderate moderate rain and snow north and central; becoming light in the south. Gradual warming trend.
Mt. Hood
Saturday Light showers ending in the morning. Increasing mid and high-level clouds in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Increasing light rain and snow by morning. Warming trend.
Sunday Light rain and snow. Warming trend.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level 2500' 2000' 1500' ' ' 2500' ' 2500'
Saturday Night Snow Level * 7000' 3000' 2500' ' ' 3500' ' 3500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level * 6000' 3500' 3000' ' ' 4000' ' 6000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level 6000' 4500' 4000' ' ' 6500' ' 6500'
Sunday Night Snow Level 5500' 4500' 4500' ' ' 5500' ' 7000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
7000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Saturday Saturday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 2.00 - 3.00
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 2.00 - 3.00
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise LT 0.10 1.00 - 2.00
White Pass LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 LT 0.25
LT 0.10 LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon W 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 W 10 - 20 --- - WNW 10 - 20
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25 SSW 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25 --- - W 15 - 25
Sunday Morning WSW 20 - 30 SSW 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25 --- - W 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 WSW 30 - 40 --- - W 20 - 30
Sunday Night W 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 WSW 30 - 40 --- - W 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night W 20 - 30
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Saturday Night SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Sunday Night WSW 30 - 40
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20
Saturday Night W 15 - 25
Sunday Morning W 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Sunday Night W 25 - 35
Sunday Night --- -
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Sunday Night W 20 - 30
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Saturday Night SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Saturday Night WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Sunday Night WSW 30 - 40
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon WNW 10 - 20
Saturday Night W 15 - 25
Sunday Morning W 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Sunday Night W 25 - 35
Sunday Night --- -

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon WNW 25 - 35 WNW 20 - 30 NW 30 - 40 --- - NNW 30 - 40
Saturday Night W 35 - 45 WSW 35 - 45 W 35 - 45 --- - NW 30 - 40
Sunday Morning WSW 35 - 45 WSW 40 - 50 WSW 35 - 45 --- - WNW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon W 40 - 50 W 40 - 50 W 45 - 55 --- - W 35 - 45
Sunday Night W 40 - 50 W 45 - 55 W 50 - 60 --- - W 50 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon WNW 25 - 35
Saturday Night W 35 - 45
Sunday Morning WSW 35 - 45
Sunday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Sunday Night W 40 - 50
Sunday Night --- -
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon WNW 20 - 30
Saturday Night WSW 35 - 45
Sunday Morning WSW 40 - 50
Sunday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Sunday Night W 45 - 55
Sunday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon NW 30 - 40
Saturday Night W 35 - 45
Sunday Morning WSW 35 - 45
Sunday Afternoon W 45 - 55
Sunday Night W 50 - 60
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon NNW 30 - 40
Saturday Night NW 30 - 40
Sunday Morning WNW 25 - 35
Sunday Afternoon W 35 - 45
Sunday Night W 50 - 60
Sunday Night --- -

Extended Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Saturday

By Monday morning, the jet sags south toward the US-Canadian border and the front sags south with it. Moisture continues and spreads throughout the Washington Cascades and briefly ends in the north Monday night.

On Tuesday, a developing and strong low tracks off Tatoosh Island with a rapid increase in precipitation. Most stations should be in the pre-frontal warm sector (Baker only briefly). The low should bring strong winds as it passes over the San Juan Islands by Tuesday afternoon with a strong Frontal Passage expected, dropping temperatures rapidly Tuesday night with anticipated post-frontal snowfall. 

On Wednesday, the cold upper level trough will be over Washington State, with a large ridge over the Pacific, extending to Southern Alaska.

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Monday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming showers, heaviest west slopes of the Cascades, decreasing in the afternoon. Renewed moderate to heavy precipitation overnight, most areas. Tuesday Rain and snow heavy at times, most areas, with the least in the Mt. Hood area. Wednesday Heavy showers, decreasing rapidly and ending from north to south as a cold, dry airmass moves over.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday Snow Level 2500' - 4000' 3500' - 5000' 6000' - 7000'
Monday Night Snow Level 2000' - 4000' 4000' - 5000' 6000' - 7000' *
Tuesday Snow Level 2000' - 4000' 3000' - 4500' 4000' - 5500' *
Tuesday Night Snow Level 1500' - 3500' 1500' - 3500' 1500' - 3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Snow Level
2500' - 4000'
Monday Night Snow Level
2000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
2000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
1500' - 3500'
Wednesday Snow Level
0' - 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Snow Level
3500' - 5000'
Monday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
1500' - 3500'
Wednesday Snow Level
0' - 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Monday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
4000' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
1500' - 3500'
Wednesday Snow Level
0' - 2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 16, 2017

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