Issued: 2:40 PM PST Wednesday, February 15, 2017
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday & Tuesday

Afternoon update: Precipitation and wind forecasts adjusted for most locations Day 1 and Day 2. 

An atmospheric river will continue to deliver heavy precipitation to the PNW in SW flow aloft. High freezing levels seen with this pattern will continue through tonight, however low level easterly flow will maintain localized freezing rain in the Cascade Passes, especially at Stevens and Snoqualmie. However, the cold pool on the east side of the state is not as cold as previous storms this winter, making the likelihood of plain rain for the upper elevations in the Passes likely.  

As the frontal band lifts NE today, there should be a reprieve from the precipitation mid-day before a secondary low pressure system offshore tracks in a similar fashion and spreads renewed precipitation first along the Olympics and northwest Cascades this afternoon and pushes precipitation inland during the late afternoon and evening.   As this frontal boundary slides through overnight, expect a slow cooling trend to begin very late Wednesday night for the Olympics, Mt. Hood and the west slopes of the Cascades. The snow levels in the Washington Pass area will likely peak Thursday morning before colder air begins to trickle into the east slopes during the day. Light to moderate post-frontal showers are expected Thursday and Thursday night along with the slow cooling trend. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Wednesday Morning - Wednesday Mid-day

Moderate rain and snow. Precipitation easing late morning. Windy.  

Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night

Renewed moderate rain and snow in the afternoon. Windy. Slow cooling trend late Wednesday night.  

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Wednesday Morning - Wednesday Mid-day

Moderate heavy rain and snow west slopes of the Cascades, heavy Mt. Baker area. Freezing rain lower elevations of the Cascade Passes. Precipitation easing late morning. Windy.  

Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night

Renewed moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow late in the afternoon, with rain and freezing rain in the Cascade Passes. Heaviest rain and snow Mt. Baker area. Windy. Slow cooling trend late Wednesday night.  

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Wednesday Morning - Wednesday Mid-day

Light to moderate rain and snow. Freezing rain lower elevations of the east slopes of the Cascades. Precipitation easing mid-day.   

Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Night

Renewed light to moderate rain and snow late in the late afternoon, with continued rain and freezing rain lower slopes. 

Mt. Hood Area
Wednesday

Light to moderate rain and snow. Windy. Mild. 

Wednesday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow. Windy. Mild. Slight cooling trend late Wednesday night.  

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level * 8500' 7500' 5500' ' ' 8500' ' 9500'
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level * 5500' 5500' 6000' ' ' 6000' ' 6500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' ' ' 5000' ' 5000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Thursday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon - Wednesday Evening Snow Level
9500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Tuesday
Hurricane Ridge 0 - 1.50 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 4.00 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0 - 1.50 0 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 2.00 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge 0.75 - 1.00 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 2.00 - 3.00 0.50 - 0.75
Paradise 2.00 - 3.00 0.75 - 1.00
White Pass 0 - 1.00 0 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 - 1.50 0 - 1.00
0 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon S 25 - 35 SSE 15 - 25 ESE 15 - 25 --- - S 15 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35 S 25 - 35 SE 20 - 35 --- - SW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 WSW 10 - 20 --- - WSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon S 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night S 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SE 20 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning ESE 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Afternoon S 15 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon S 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night S 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night SW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SE 20 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning ESE 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon S 15 - 30
Wednesday Night SW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 50 - 60 SW 30 - 40 SW 50 - 70 --- - SW 60 - 75
Wednesday Night SW 45 - 55 S 25 - 35 SW 50 - 60 --- - SW 60 - 70
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night SW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 --- - WSW 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 50 - 60
Wednesday Night SW 45 - 55
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night SW 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 50
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night S 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 50 - 70
Wednesday Night SW 50 - 60
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 50
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon --- -
Wednesday Night --- -
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night --- -
Thursday Morning --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Afternoon SW 60 - 75
Wednesday Night SW 60 - 70
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 40 - 50

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

With weak flow aloft over the area on Friday, showers should generally ease with partial clearing. A long wave trough should pass through the West Coast on Saturday helping to renew shower activity over the region as well as cloud cover.  A weak frontal band rotating out from a low pressure system well off Vancouver Island should spread generally light precipitation over the region on Sunday.  

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood
Friday - Friday Evening

Mostly cloudy with decreasing scattered light rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Partial afternoon clearing. 

Friday Night - Saturday

Increasing clouds and showers from the south Friday night becoming cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers Saturday. 

Saturday Night - Sunday

Periods of light rain and snow. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday - Sunday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday - Sunday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday - Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 15, 2017

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